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Prediction markets
16 active markets
· category “Science”
How it works
How to trade
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Hong Wang
99%
Yu Deng
99%
9 more
$879K
Vol.
Jul 30
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
64 trading now
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?
≤8
43%
Yes
No
9
19%
Yes
No
$15K
Vol.
Jul 26
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$58
50 trading now
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest
95%
3rd hottest
3%
2 more
$108K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
42 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?
0
69%
Yes
No
1
25%
Yes
No
$5.0K
Vol.
Jul 26
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$36
33 trading now
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?
600mm+
66%
525-550mm
18%
8 more
$24K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$38
36 trading now
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
December 31
45%
October 31
41%
2 more
$1.4K
Vol.
Jan 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$56
37 trading now
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.20–1.24ºC
79%
1.25–1.29ºC
17%
4 more
$40K
Vol.
Aug 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$32
47 trading now
Precipitation in Seattle in July?
<0.5"
71%
1-1.5"
12%
5 more
$1.5K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$35
39 trading now
Precipitation in NYC in July?
4-5"
70%
3-4"
21%
4 more
$31K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$36
48 trading now
Precipitation in Seoul in July?
100mm+
99%
90-100mm
1%
6 more
$13K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?
<100
60%
100–129
29%
7 more
$2.0K
Vol.
Aug 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$42
41 trading now
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$121K
Vol.
Mar 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
46 trading now
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