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Prediction markets
93 active markets
· category “AI”
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Claude 4.8 released by...?
May 31
99%
June 15
99%
2 more
$680K
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
59 trading now
GPT-5.6 released by...?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$4.26M
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
61 trading now
Next GPT Model: Text Arena Debut?
1450+
99%
1520+
1%
5 more
$508K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
57 trading now
Next Claude Opus released by...?
December 31
99%
October 31
98%
5 more
$661K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
50 trading now
Next Claude Opus released on...?
July 24
28%
No release by July 31
21%
7 more
$254K
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$90
53 trading now
GPT-5.6 released on...?
July 9
99%
July 14
50%
37 more
$1.01M
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?
1490+
99%
1480+
99%
2 more
$37K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
47 trading now
Which company has best AI model end of August?
Anthropic
91%
Company A
50%
30 more
$270K
Vol.
Aug 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$28
56 trading now
Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?
1480+
1%
1440+
1%
1 more
$65K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
40 trading now
Claude Sonnet 5: Text Arena Debut?
1470+
1%
1480+
1%
2 more
$25K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
38 trading now
Next Grok Model: Text Arena Debut?
1440+
99%
1450+
99%
3 more
$78K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
August 31
85%
August 7
62%
11 more
$272K
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$29
57 trading now
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